The one question this page answers: is the market set up to move in one direction, or to chop? It reads that from what dealer gamma forces market-makers to do to stay hedged. The levels, the walls and the decay rate come from the full options chain, captured every 5 minutes and weighted by open interest (OI) only — never by volume. This page also publishes the measurement of its own thesis, and that measurement did not support it. Scroll to "Does any of this actually work?".
The verdict · QQQ · session book
SET UP TO BLAST
Dealers are short gamma where price is trading, so hedging pushes WITH moves.
BLAST CONFIGURATION, AND A DURABLE ONE. Dealers are short gamma at this price with no centre-of-mass magnet nearby, so their hedging pushes with the tape rather than against it. Little of this gamma expires today, which means the amplifying configuration is not a same-day artefact — it carries into the following sessions unless the book changes.
NO DIRECTIONAL LEAN. Dealer gamma describes the SHAPE of the path — how big and how jagged — not which way it points. The asymmetries that could carry a lean (which wall is closer, where the centre of mass sits, vanna, charm) do not agree strongly enough here to name a side, and on this stack none of them beat simply counting how often sessions close up.
As of 2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00 (rth), spot 705.44. Built on the book as it stands in the latest 5-minute snapshot, including contracts expiring today. Regime read from net dealer gamma inside +/-1% of spot, as a share of the gross gamma in that band; it nets 99% one way (called flat below 20%), over 14 strikes within ±1% of price.
The range the option market is charging for
the one-day move the option market is charging for. Part B found this is the figure that carries the information; the gamma reading did not add to it.
How fast this regime decays
This is how much of the book dies at its very next expiry. It is the regime's DECAY RATE rather than its level — how long whatever is shaping the tape has left to exist. The share of gamma at the front expiry is unremarkable for this book. A meaningful slice resets when it expires and the rest carries forward.
Where the walls sat, through the session — 5-minute chain, 2026-09-15
Walls MIGRATING through a session is more informative than their level. Across 41 snapshots the call wall moved 725.00 → 720.00, the put wall 700.00 → 705.00, and the gamma centre of mass 703.83 → 701.08. The sign of the at-spot gamma changed 0 time(s) during the session. A null zero-gamma cross is a real answer — on about a third of readings the cumulative curve never crosses zero inside the band — so it is drawn as a gap, never as zero.
Overnight — NQ against QQQ's frozen walls
NQ has traded up 0.07% since the cash close, which puts QQQ at about 705.91. That sits 2.00% below the call wall at 720.00 and 0.13% above the put wall at 705.00. The wall levels themselves are frozen from the last session's settled open interest and do not move until the next session settles.
The conversion, so it is checkable: NQ shown as QQQ-equivalent: NQ now 29,294.00, NQ at the Tue close 29,274.25, so 705.44 x (29,294.00 / 29,274.25) = 705.91. The move in the future since the cash close, applied to QQQ's price at that close — the basis and the index/ETF ratio cancel out, so no ratio is estimated.
Does the option book calm this move or amplify it? — QQQ · session book
A different chart from the bars below. The bars break dealer gamma down strike by strike; this line adds it all up and shows the total at each hypothetical spot price. Where the line is green (above zero) the book is long gamma and dealers hedge against moves — it CALMS the tape; where it is red (below zero) they are short gamma and hedge with moves — it AMPLIFIES. The tall black line is where price is now; the teal line is the flip between the two. The dashed 0DTE line (when present) is the same book with only same-day contracts — that is where late-session pockets come from. Modelled, not measured — MODELLED, NOT MEASURED. Each contract is repriced with Black-Scholes gamma while its implied vol and days-to-expiry are held FIXED and spot is hypothetically moved (a sticky-strike assumption); r=0; same-day options are floored to 1 day of time so their gamma stays finite (they are removed entirely on the forward book); the contract universe is identical to the per-strike chart (+/-15% of spot, nearest 6 expiries); OI-weighted, never volume; calls +1, puts -1, netted per contract.
What time and vol force dealers to do — QQQ · session book
charm is how dealer hedging drifts as the clock runs, even if price does not move. Green (above zero) = absorb: time is making dealers longer delta, so they SELL to stay flat. Red (below zero) = amplify: time is making them shorter, so they BUY. The tall black line is where price is now; the teal line is the charm flip — the price where that buy/sell pressure changes sign. vanna is how dealer hedging shifts when implied vol moves, even if price does not. Same geometry; a 1-point vol drop forces the hedge in the tile above. The third canvas is the same OI book with less time left (15:45 ET) — the honest substitute for VolSignals' late red 0DTE pockets, without claiming we saw the shorts. No buy-and-hold line: these are cross-sections of the option book against hypothetical spot, not a time series of an asset. Modelled, not measured — MODELLED, NOT MEASURED. Same signed book as the per-strike GEX chart (±15% of spot, nearest 6 expiries, OI-only, never volume). Time remaining is the clock to the banked expiry instant, not a 1-day floor — so 0DTE gamma and charm into the close are visible here and hidden on the regime curve above (that curve keeps the 1-day floor so it stays comparable to the banked history). The late-day gamma slice is the SAME open-interest book with less time left — not a forecast of trades or of price. 0DTE contracts with oi=0 do not appear. The dealer-side sign is the usual convention (customers sell calls / buy puts) and is often wrong; VolSignals showed 20 of 36 large 0DTE lines carrying the wrong sign under it. Read the NUMBERS as concentrations; read the DIRECTION as an assumption.
Time decay hedging for the session ahead · QQQ
How to read it. Across is time of day, up is where the index would be.
Each square is the dealer dollar-delta that one five-minute step forces at that level, with the
index standing still. The teal line is where the sign flips, drawn across the session so its
drift is visible. Orange outlines are pockets — runs of squares that pull the opposite way to
the band around them. The black line is where price stood; the purple line is the paired
future now, converted into this root's own units by the overnight overlay's anchor.
Contracts. NQ contracts = the cell's dollars / (that index level in NQ points x 20). The index level is put into NQ points with this page's existing anchor ratio: NQ closed at 29,274.25 while QQQ stood at 705.44, so one QQQ point is 41.498018 NQ points. The basis and any index/ETF ratio cancel because both sit in the anchor. Applied when this payload is read, so it always uses the live front month.
Modelled, not measured — The charm sum of the session book, evaluated on a grid instead of at one instant. For each cell (t, S) every contract is repriced with remaining time from t to its OWN banked expiry instant (ACT/365.25, floored to 5 minutes) and with spot held at S; its implied vol, strike, open interest, r and q are unchanged (sticky-strike, exactly as the panel above). A contract whose expiry instant has already passed at t is EXCLUDED from that column and counted (census.expired_at_last_step) — never floored into a position that no longer exists. Volume is never used. This is a picture of the SAME open interest with less time left, not a forecast of trades or of price.
WHICH SIDE ARE DEALERS ACTUALLY ON? These greeks cannot see it. Every sign here infers dealers long calls and short puts. When customers have been BUYING calls, dealers are short them and a "long" line is actually a short — the absorb/amplify label flips. Nothing on this page confirms the direction. VolSignals, 2026-08-31: 20 of 36 SPX 0DTE lines over 300 contracts carried the opposite sign under this convention.
These numbers are not an input to verdict.regime / decay / pin / lean.
Conventional amplifiers and absorbers near price · QQQ
As of 2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00 · session book · source: per-strike OI-weighted dollar gamma, same snapshot as the walls; dealer-side sign is a convention.
Net dealer gamma by strike — QQQ, 2026-09-15
Netted contract counts are the primary measure and the default view here; dollar gamma is the secondary toggle. Dollar gamma at a single strike balloons as price approaches it and collapses as price leaves, so a dollar-ranked wall is a moving target while a contract-counted one is not. By contract count the walls sit at 800.00 (calls) and 700.00 (puts); by dollar gamma at 720.00 and 705.00. The shaded band is ±1% around spot — that band is the regime measure at the top of this page.
Optional data · previous bull & bear runs · QQQ · close-to-close swings ≥ 20% · daily archive 1999-03-10 → 2026-09-14
Every close in the archive, with each bull run shaded green and each bear run red at the threshold selected above. Runs are CLOSE-only — intraday extremes are not in this archive, so a run's depth understates the true high-low move. The last segment is the open run: it has not confirmed its next pivot and can still extend or be re-labelled.
The same runs OVERLAID: every run re-based to 0% at its own start, plotted against sessions elapsed, so the run we are in now (the black line) can be read against every previous run of the archive at a glance — steeper is faster, longer is more stretched.
| Run | Start | End | Sessions | Calendar days | Change | Pace / session | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BULL | 2025-04-08 | 2026-09-14 | 357 | 524 | +70.45% | +0.197% | OPEN — the run now |
| BEAR | 2025-02-19 | 2025-04-08 | 34 | 48 | -22.88% | -0.673% | completed |
| BULL | 2022-12-28 | 2025-02-19 | 536 | 784 | +107.43% | +0.200% | completed |
| BEAR | 2022-08-15 | 2022-12-28 | 94 | 135 | -21.91% | -0.233% | completed |
| BULL | 2022-06-16 | 2022-08-15 | 40 | 60 | +22.72% | +0.568% | completed |
| BEAR | 2021-11-19 | 2022-06-16 | 143 | 209 | -32.82% | -0.230% | completed |
| BULL | 2020-03-16 | 2021-11-19 | 426 | 613 | +138.62% | +0.325% | completed |
| BEAR | 2020-02-19 | 2020-03-16 | 18 | 26 | -28.56% | -1.587% | completed |
| BULL | 2018-12-24 | 2020-02-19 | 289 | 422 | +65.14% | +0.225% | completed |
| BEAR | 2018-08-29 | 2018-12-24 | 80 | 117 | -23.16% | -0.289% | completed |
| BULL | 2008-11-20 | 2018-08-29 | 2459 | 3569 | +630.59% | +0.256% | completed |
| BEAR | 2008-06-05 | 2008-11-20 | 118 | 168 | -49.44% | -0.419% | completed |
| BULL | 2008-03-10 | 2008-06-05 | 61 | 87 | +22.52% | +0.369% | completed |
| BEAR | 2007-10-31 | 2008-03-10 | 88 | 131 | -25.02% | -0.284% | completed |
| BULL | 2002-10-09 | 2007-10-31 | 1274 | 1848 | +174.33% | +0.137% | completed |
| BEAR | 2002-08-22 | 2002-10-09 | 33 | 48 | -23.32% | -0.707% | completed |
| BULL | 2002-08-05 | 2002-08-22 | 13 | 17 | +22.01% | +1.693% | completed |
| BEAR | 2001-12-06 | 2002-08-05 | 165 | 242 | -50.03% | -0.303% | completed |
| BULL | 2001-09-21 | 2001-12-06 | 53 | 76 | +52.22% | +0.985% | completed |
| BEAR | 2001-05-21 | 2001-09-21 | 82 | 123 | -44.78% | -0.546% | completed |
| BULL | 2001-04-04 | 2001-05-21 | 32 | 47 | +49.93% | +1.560% | completed |
| BEAR | 2001-01-23 | 2001-04-04 | 50 | 71 | -49.75% | -0.995% | completed |
| BULL | 2001-01-02 | 2001-01-23 | 14 | 21 | +26.81% | +1.915% | completed |
| BEAR | 2000-09-01 | 2001-01-02 | 83 | 123 | -47.93% | -0.577% | completed |
| BULL | 2000-05-23 | 2000-09-01 | 71 | 101 | +37.18% | +0.524% | completed |
| BEAR | 2000-03-27 | 2000-05-23 | 40 | 57 | -36.46% | -0.912% | completed |
| BULL | 1999-03-23 | 2000-03-27 | 256 | 370 | +141.23% | +0.552% | completed |
| BEAR | 1999-03-10 | 1999-03-23 | 9 | 13 | -4.41% | -0.490% | partial (starts at archive edge) |
Source: yahoo_max_seed + live daily shard. A swing threshold is a definition, not a discovery — 10% is the conventional correction cut, 20% the conventional bear-market cut; the buttons re-segment the same archive so the definition is yours to pick.
Major support & resistance · QQQ · session book
Ranked by netted contract count at the strike (call open interest minus put open interest), as a share of the netted contracts across the whole band. Top 3 each side — a secondary strike close to price routinely matters more than the headline wall far from it, which is why this is a ladder and not a single level.
The levels · session book
| Reading | Value | Basis | What that state means |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net dealer gamma at spot | 2.2 | percentile of history | Dealer gamma at spot is about as negative as it has been in the banked history. In this configuration hedging runs WITH the tape — dealers sell as it falls and buy as it rises — so their own flow adds to whatever move is already happening rather than absorbing it. This is the mechanical source of trend days, gaps and follow-through. |
| Share of dealer gamma at the front expiry | 33.2 | share of the book | The share of gamma at the front expiry is unremarkable for this book. A meaningful slice resets when it expires and the rest carries forward. |
| Room between the walls | 49.6 | percentile of history | The gap between the walls is about its usual width. Neither an unusually tight corridor nor an unusually open one. |
| What the tape delivered versus what options charged | 3.4 | percentile of history | The tape delivered far less movement than the option market charged for. Whoever paid for that volatility got a session that never came close to justifying it, and whoever sold it collected the difference. |
Does any of this actually work? — this app measuring its own thesis
The dealer-positioning MECHANICS are still a fact about the book — where gamma sits, which strikes force hedging, how fast it decays. Those are structural readings, not forecasts. What this test refuses to support is treating them as an independent edge over implied volatility.
| Quintile | n | Next range (median) | Middle half | What options charged | Range ÷ charged | Path efficiency | Failed breakouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 — most short gamma | 224 | 1.78% | 1.06%–2.90% | 1.67% | 1.055 | 0.465 | 33.7% of 199 |
| Q2 | 208 | 1.73% | 1.16%–2.54% | 1.77% | 0.971 | 0.460 | 31.9% of 182 |
| Q3 | 216 | 1.86% | 1.16%–2.76% | 1.76% | 1.039 | 0.450 | 35.0% of 203 |
| Q4 | 208 | 1.73% | 0.99%–2.65% | 1.52% | 1.089 | 0.517 | 29.8% of 191 |
| Q5 — most long gamma | 216 | 1.53% | 0.91%–2.36% | 1.38% | 1.090 | 0.426 | 36.3% of 190 |
| Root | n | Raw: gamma → next range | Vol-controlled: gamma → range ÷ charged | Blast-vs-shards (path efficiency) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | 134 | -0.090 (p=0.301) | +0.128 (p=0.142) | +0.046 (p=0.598) |
| QQQ | 134 | -0.111 (p=0.201) | -0.009 (p=0.915) | -0.167 (p=0.054) |
| IWM | 134 | -0.109 (p=0.209) | +0.092 (p=0.291) | -0.045 (p=0.605) |
| SPX | 134 | -0.134 (p=0.122) | +0.056 (p=0.531) | +0.058 (p=0.507) |
| SPXW | 108 | -0.351 (p=0.000) | +0.111 (p=0.369) | -0.054 (p=0.581) |
| AAPL | 134 | -0.137 (p=0.115) | +0.121 (p=0.163) | +0.067 (p=0.446) |
| MSFT | 134 | -0.111 (p=0.202) | -0.069 (p=0.430) | -0.105 (p=0.228) |
| NVDA | 134 | +0.075 (p=0.388) | +0.174 (p=0.044) | +0.138 (p=0.113) |
| TSLA | 134 | -0.114 (p=0.191) | -0.010 (p=0.912) | -0.081 (p=0.356) |
Directional bias — why it stays weak
Gamma is path-shape, not direction. The four asymmetries that could legitimately carry a lean were each measured against the next session's signed return. The number that matters is the base rate: 52.3% of next sessions simply closed up (n=1072). A lean has to beat that, not 50%. None of them did — which is why "no directional lean" is this page's standing answer rather than a fallback.
| Asymmetry | n | Rank correlation | Hit rate | Beat the base rate? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| room to the call wall minus room to the put wall | 1072 | +0.003 (p=0.933) | 49.5% | no |
| where the gamma centre of mass sits versus spot | 1072 | -0.003 (p=0.910) | 48.6% | no |
| net vanna exposure — the mechanical bid if volatility falls | 1072 | -0.056 (p=0.069) | 48.8% | no |
| net charm exposure — hedge drift from time passing | 1072 | +0.086 (p=0.005) | 53.5% | yes |
How fresh this is, and what does not line up
| Clock | As of | Expected cadence | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| options chain | 2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00 | every 5m | The full option chain, captured every 5 minutes while the market is open and held at the last reading once it closes. Outside trading hours a held clock is correct behaviour, not a failure. |
| profile build | 2026-09-15T16:50:36Z | every 10m | When the per-strike gamma profile on this page was last rebuilt from the chain archive. It rebuilds every 10 minutes while the market is open and holds at the last build once it closes — a held clock out of hours is correct, not a failure. |
| open interest · settled | 2026-09-15 | every 1d | Settled overnight by the clearing house for the PREVIOUS session. It does not move intraday — market structure, not neglect. |
| daily history · settled | 2026-09-11 | every 1d | The banked daily-close spine the history charts draw. One row per session. |
| NQ futures | 2026-09-15T16:50:00+00:00 | every 5m | NQZ6, the front-month contract resolved by live volume rather than a continuous alias. It trades while the cash market is shut, which is the whole reason it can be compared against a wall level that is frozen until the next settlement. |
| bull/bear archive · settled | 2026-09-14 | every 1d | Daily closes from 1999-03-10 to 2026-09-14, used ONLY by the optional bull/bear runs block. It extends by one row per completed session, so a day behind is normal and a week behind is not. |
=== /gex — DEALER GAMMA REGIME · QQQ ===
QUESTION: Is the market set up to BLAST in a direction, or chop in jagged broken shards?
VERDICT: SET UP TO BLAST
Dealers are short gamma where price is trading, so hedging pushes WITH moves.
BLAST CONFIGURATION, AND A DURABLE ONE. Dealers are short gamma at this price with no
centre-of-mass magnet nearby, so their hedging pushes with the tape rather than against it.
Little of this gamma expires today, which means the amplifying configuration is not a same-day
artefact — it carries into the following sessions unless the book changes.
DIRECTIONAL LEAN: NONE
NO DIRECTIONAL LEAN. Dealer gamma describes the SHAPE of the path — how big and how jagged —
not which way it points. The asymmetries that could carry a lean (which wall is closer, where
the centre of mass sits, vanna, charm) do not agree strongly enough here to name a side, and on
this stack none of them beat simply counting how often sessions close up.
-- DOES THE OPTION BOOK CALM OR AMPLIFY THIS MOVE? (regime curve, session book) --
at spot the book is AMPLIFYING moves (dealers short gamma — hedging runs WITH the tape, an accelerant).
dealer gamma at spot: -$4.79B per 1% move.
flip (regime boundary): 713.45, 1.14% above spot 705.44.
MODELLED, NOT MEASURED. Each contract is repriced with Black-Scholes gamma while its
implied vol and days-to-expiry are held FIXED and spot is hypothetically moved (a
sticky-strike assumption); r=0; same-day options are floored to 1 day of time so their
gamma stays finite (they are removed entirely on the forward book); the contract universe
is identical to the per-strike chart (+/-15% of spot, nearest 6 expiries); OI-weighted,
never volume; calls +1, puts -1, netted per contract.
-- WHAT TIME AND VOL FORCE DEALERS TO DO (same signed book, session book) --
as of 2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00 · remaining time to the banked texp instant, 5-minute floor · source: gamma/data/chain x-block + header texp/rate/q; OI-only; never volume
CHARM at spot: -$752.22B dollar-delta per year = -$2.06B per calendar day.
Time passing is forcing dealers to BUY the underlying to stay hedged (they are decaying
into a shorter delta). Under the usual dealer-side convention only — if the convention
is wrong, they sell instead.
of which 0DTE -$111.82B / rest -$640.40B (99 same-day contracts).
charm flip (where time-decay hedge flow changes sign): 737.00, 4.47% from spot.
VANNA at spot: +$36.47B dollar-delta per 1.00 vol = +$364.7M per vol-point.
If implied vol FALLS 1 point, dealers would have to BUY the underlying to stay hedged (and
SELL if vol rises). Under the usual dealer-side convention only.
chain's own xcharm/xvanna (not fused; archive 12h floor): -$794.67B / +$38.75B
LATE-DAY GAMMA (same OI, less time, as of 2026-09-15T19:45:00Z): whole-book -$7.19B / 0DTE -$4.26B per 1%.
CONVENTIONAL AMPLIFIERS / ABSORBERS (most-negative / most-positive dollar-gamma inside ±2% of price). Not VolSignals tests — we cannot see who is actually short.
amplifier 1 705.00 -0.06% -$1.58B per 1% 29,502 net contracts
amplifier 2 700.00 -0.77% -$1.29B per 1% 102,834 net contracts
amplifier 3 709.00 +0.51% -$269.9M per 1% 10,997 net contracts
absorber 1 717.00 +1.64% +$49.3M per 1% 7,266 net contracts
absorber 2 719.00 +1.92% +$45.9M per 1% 8,011 net contracts
absorber 3 713.00 +1.07% +$41.4M per 1% 3,502 net contracts
0DTE ACTIVITY (not a position): in-band 3,309,392 contracts of volume across 294 listed lines; 49 lines still report OI 0 with volume > 0. Never used as a weight.
including outside the ±15% band: 3,325,473 contracts, 54 oi=0-with-volume lines.
! WHICH SIDE ARE DEALERS ACTUALLY ON? These greeks cannot see it. Every sign here infers
dealers long calls and short puts. When customers have been BUYING calls, dealers are
short them and a "long" line is actually a short — the absorb/amplify label flips.
Nothing on this page confirms the direction. VolSignals, 2026-08-31: 20 of 36 SPX 0DTE
lines over 300 contracts carried the opposite sign under this convention.
! These numbers are not an input to verdict.regime / decay / pin / lean.
MODELLED, NOT MEASURED. Same signed book as the per-strike GEX chart (±15% of spot,
nearest 6 expiries, OI-only, never volume). Time remaining is the clock to the banked
expiry instant, not a 1-day floor — so 0DTE gamma and charm into the close are visible
here and hidden on the regime curve above (that curve keeps the 1-day floor so it stays
comparable to the banked history). The late-day gamma slice is the SAME open-interest book
with less time left — not a forecast of trades or of price. 0DTE contracts with oi=0 do
not appear. The dealer-side sign is the usual convention (customers sell calls / buy puts)
and is often wrong; VolSignals showed 20 of 36 large 0DTE lines carrying the wrong sign
under it. Read the NUMBERS as concentrations; read the DIRECTION as an assumption.
-- TIME-DECAY HEDGING, THE SESSION AHEAD (charm field) --
session 2026-09-15, 12:50 to 16:00 ET in 5-minute steps (39 of them) x 57 levels 691.50 to 719.50 (session book).
Each cell is the dealer dollar-delta that must be hedged over that one step at that
level, with the index standing still. Negative = dealers BUY, positive = they SELL.
NEXT 60 MINUTES at 705.50: -$96.4M = -164.6 NQ contracts — dealers BUY (convention).
for scale, a 5-minute bar trades about 2,138 contracts in the regular session and 344 overnight.
THE FLIP — the level where the field changes sign, nearest price:
open 12:50 no flip inside the grid cell at 705.50: -$7.3M = -12.44 NQ
last hr 15:00 704.62 cell at 705.50: -$16.0M = -27.39 NQ
POCKETS — runs of cells whose sign disagrees with the band around them (3):
14:10 to 16:00, 707.50 to 709.00: dealers SELL, strongest cell +$32.4M = 55.15 NQ. Made by: 710.00 2026-09-15 put oi 15,796 (+$9.8M) · 709.00 2026-09-15 put oi 11,430 (+$7.1M) · 710.00 2026-09-15 call oi 8,464 (-$3.0M)
14:50 to 16:00, 704.00 to 704.50: dealers SELL, strongest cell +$29.1M = 49.77 NQ. Made by: 705.00 2026-09-15 put oi 17,376 (+$21.2M) · 704.00 2026-09-15 put oi 4,338 (-$5.2M) · 704.00 2026-09-15 call oi 2,534 (+$3.0M)
15:20 to 16:00, 693.50 to 695.00: dealers SELL, strongest cell +$27.3M = 47.43 NQ. Made by: 695.00 2026-09-15 put oi 5,181 (+$9.3M) · 696.00 2026-09-15 put oi 4,070 (+$3.5M) · 694.00 2026-09-15 put oi 1,268 (-$2.2M)
CONVERSION: NQ contracts = the cell's dollars / (that index level in NQ points x 20). The index
level is put into NQ points with this page's existing anchor ratio: NQ closed at
29,274.25 while QQQ stood at 705.44, so one QQQ point is 41.498018 NQ points. The basis
and any index/ETF ratio cancel because both sit in the anchor. Applied when this payload
is read, so it always uses the live front month.
The charm sum of the session book, evaluated on a grid instead of at one instant. For each
cell (t, S) every contract is repriced with remaining time from t to its OWN banked expiry
instant (ACT/365.25, floored to 5 minutes) and with spot held at S; its implied vol,
strike, open interest, r and q are unchanged (sticky-strike, exactly as the panel above).
A contract whose expiry instant has already passed at t is EXCLUDED from that column and
counted (census.expired_at_last_step) — never floored into a position that no longer
exists. Volume is never used. This is a picture of the SAME open interest with less time
left, not a forecast of trades or of price.
! WHICH SIDE ARE DEALERS ACTUALLY ON? These greeks cannot see it. Every sign here infers
dealers long calls and short puts. When customers have been BUYING calls, dealers are
short them and a "long" line is actually a short — the absorb/amplify label flips.
Nothing on this page confirms the direction. VolSignals, 2026-08-31: 20 of 36 SPX 0DTE
lines over 300 contracts carried the opposite sign under this convention.
! These numbers are not an input to verdict.regime / decay / pin / lean.
-- THE RANGE THE OPTION MARKET IS CHARGING FOR --
daily breakeven 1.45% (front at-the-money implied vol 23.09% (expiry 2026-09-16) / sqrt(252))
gamma-conditional range median 1.37%, middle half 1.04% to 1.68% (quintile 1 of banked history, n=28)
NOTE: shown for completeness. Part B found the gamma reading adds nothing to the breakeven above.
wall-to-wall corridor 2.13% (put wall 705.00 to call wall 720.00)
last session delivered 0.76% (5-min sampled) = 0.52x the breakeven
-- OVERNIGHT: NQ AGAINST THE FROZEN WALLS --
NQ has traded up 0.07% since the cash close, which puts QQQ at about 705.91. That sits 2.00%
below the call wall at 720.00 and 0.13% above the put wall at 705.00. The wall levels
themselves are frozen from the last session's settled open interest and do not move until
the next session settles.
E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQZ6) 29,294.00 210s old
as QQQ-equivalent 705.91 (+0.07% since the cash close at 705.44)
vs frozen call wall 720.00 price is 2.00% below it
vs frozen put wall 705.00 price is 0.13% above it
vs frozen gamma centre 701.08 price is 0.68% above it
CONVERSION: NQ shown as QQQ-equivalent: NQ now 29,294.00, NQ at the Tue close 29,274.25, so 705.44 x
(29,294.00 / 29,274.25) = 705.91. The move in the future since the cash close, applied
to QQQ's price at that close — the basis and the index/ETF ratio cancel out, so no
ratio is estimated.
SCALE: shared — the overlay is in the same units as the wall levels
! The wall levels and the futures price are deliberately from DIFFERENT CLOCKS. Wall levels
come from settled open interest, which the clearing house publishes overnight and does not
revise during a session — so a wall is a constant until the next settlement, not a stale
reading. Futures trade around the clock. Comparing the two is what shows whether price is
drifting toward or away from the level while the cash market is shut.
! Overnight futures liquidity is far thinner than the regular session. A wall approached at
03:00 on light volume is not the same event as one approached at 14:00, and neither this
page nor the dealer hedging behind the wall treats it as one.
measured: overnight bars average 344 contracts per 5 minutes against 2,138 in the regular session (16.1%).
! The dealer hedging that would enforce a wall is largely NOT ACTIVE while the cash market
is shut, so an overnight approach to a level is not the same event as a daytime one. The
caveat about which side dealers are actually on applies here more strongly, not less.
! This overlay adds no predictive power, and this app measured that: when price reached the
call wall it closed back below only 37.2% of the time against 38.0% for an arbitrary level
the same distance away. The overlay shows WHERE price is relative to a frozen level,
nothing more.
-- MAJOR SUPPORT & RESISTANCE (session book) --
These are where dealer hedging CONCENTRATES. They are not levels price is obliged to
respect: a big enough directional move overwhelms even a massive wall of gamma.
MEASURED: reaching the call wall, price closed back below it 39.6% of the time (n=288);
the put wall held 41.1% of 209. Neither beat a level the same distance away
with no gamma in it, so these rows are ranked by concentration, not reliability.
800.00 +94.56 pts +13.40% RESISTANCE call wall (largest) 3.5% of book 58,387 net contracts
The heaviest call hedging overhead. On the usual assumption that dealers are LONG
these calls, staying hedged means selling into rallies as price approaches — which
is what would slow a move here.
750.00 +44.56 pts +6.32% RESISTANCE secondary call concentration (2nd largest) 3.1% of book 52,390 net contracts
A further band of call hedging above price, lighter than the wall but closer to the
tape than the numbers alone suggest. The same mechanics apply, at smaller size.
730.00 +24.56 pts +3.48% RESISTANCE secondary call concentration (3rd largest) 2.4% of book 40,849 net contracts
A further band of call hedging above price, lighter than the wall but closer to the
tape than the numbers alone suggest. The same mechanics apply, at smaller size.
705.44 <<<< PRICE IS HERE
700.00 -5.44 pts -0.77% SUPPORT put wall (largest) 6.1% of book 102,834 net contracts
The heaviest put hedging below. On the usual assumption that dealers are SHORT these
puts, staying hedged means buying as price falls toward it — which is what would
cushion a move here.
650.00 -55.44 pts -7.86% SUPPORT secondary put concentration (2nd largest) 3.8% of book 64,083 net contracts
A further band of put hedging below price, lighter than the wall. The same mechanics
apply, at smaller size.
600.00 -105.44 pts -14.95% SUPPORT secondary put concentration (3rd largest) 3.0% of book 50,024 net contracts
A further band of put hedging below price, lighter than the wall. The same mechanics
apply, at smaller size.
701.08 -0.62% MAGNET — the opposite of a barrier
The gamma-weighted centre of the book: the level hedging flow pulls price TOWARD,
rather than a level that pushes price away. Price sitting on it is the pinned
configuration.
! WHICH SIDE ARE DEALERS ACTUALLY ON? This is the one thing gamma exposure cannot see, and
it decides whether a wall brakes or accelerates. Every number here INFERS it from a
convention — that customers sell calls and buy puts, so dealers end up long calls and
short puts, which is what makes a call wall behave like a ceiling. When that convention is
wrong the sign flips with it: if customers are BUYING calls, dealers are SHORT them, and
staying hedged means buying INTO a rally through the same strike — the level becomes an
accelerant instead of a brake. On the book these levels are drawn from, 33.2% of the gross
gamma sits at the front expiry — the short-dated, retail-facing end of the chain, where
that assumption is least safe. Nothing on this page can confirm the direction, so read the
labels as where hedging is concentrated, not as which way it will push.
ranked by: netted contract count at the strike (call open interest minus put open interest), as a
share of the netted contracts across the whole band
-- LEVELS (session book) --
Built on the book as it stands in the latest 5-minute snapshot, including contracts expiring today.
spot 705.44 as of 2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00 (rth)
net gamma in +/-1% band -$4.25B across 14 strikes [THE REGIME MEASURE]
= 99% of the gross gamma in that band, netting SHORT (flat below 20%)
net dealer gamma at the single nearest strike -$1.58B at 705.00
whole-book gamma -$5.30B
call wall 720.00 (2.06% above) put wall 705.00 (0.06% below)
walls by CONTRACT COUNT call 800.00 put 700.00 [the stable read]
gamma centre of mass 701.08 (-0.62% from spot) zero-gamma cross —
NOTE: the zero-gamma cross is a LEVEL, not the regime boundary. The regime above is read from the NET GAMMA IN THE +/-1% BAND around spot.
-- HOW FAST THIS REGIME DECAYS --
33.2% — share of the session book's gross gamma expiring today [drives the 'slow decay' in the verdict; fast at 50%]
33.2% of the gross gamma on the SESSION book expired at 2026-09-15's close
87% of the at-spot gamma disappeared with that expiry (-$1.58B on the session book -> -$1.58B on the forward book)
-- WHERE THIS SITS VERSUS ITS OWN BANKED HISTORY --
net dealer gamma at spot 2.2 percentile
Dealer gamma at spot is about as negative as it has been in the banked history. In this
configuration hedging runs WITH the tape — dealers sell as it falls and buy as it rises
— so their own flow adds to whatever move is already happening rather than absorbing it.
This is the mechanical source of trend days, gaps and follow-through.
share of the book at the front expiry 33.2 % of the book
The share of gamma at the front expiry is unremarkable for this book. A meaningful slice
resets when it expires and the rest carries forward.
room between the walls 49.6 percentile
The gap between the walls is about its usual width. Neither an unusually tight corridor nor
an unusually open one.
last session delivered vs what options charged 3.4 percentile
The tape delivered far less movement than the option market charged for. Whoever paid for
that volatility got a session that never came close to justifying it, and whoever sold it
collected the difference.
-- PART B: THIS APP MEASURING ITS OWN CLAIM --
THESIS HELD: NO
NOT ESTABLISHED. Dealer gamma tracks the volatility regime, but it did not beat what the
option market had already priced.
- RAW, the thesis looks right: the most negative-gamma quintile was followed by a 1.78%
median range and the most positive by 1.53% (pooled rho -0.070, p=0.0224).
- CONTROLLED, it disappears. Measure the same range in units of what options charged for it
(range / IV breakeven) and the relationship is rho 0.053, p=0.08 — nothing.
Negative-gamma sessions ARE high-implied-vol sessions: median breakeven fell from 1.67% in
the short-gamma quintile to 1.38% in the long-gamma quintile. Gamma was reading the
thermometer, not adding to it.
- The BLAST-vs-SHARDS part specifically shows nothing: path efficiency (how much of the
day's travel became net progress) against gamma is rho -0.011, p=0.71.
- The FAILED-BREAKOUT prediction runs the wrong way. Long dealer gamma is supposed to
produce MORE failed breakouts; measured, long gamma faded 32.9% of breakout attempts and
short gamma faded 34.1%.
- No directional signal beat the base rate: 52.3% of next sessions closed up, and not one of
the four asymmetries did better.
+ ONE reading did keep a signal after the calendar was removed, and it is the DECAY RATE
rather than the level: the 0DTE share of gamma. Ranked inside each (root x weekday) cell
— which removes the weekday effect completely, not just its linear part — a higher
0DTE share went with the next session realising MORE range than options had charged for:
pooled rho 0.070 (n=938 across 35 cells), and POSITIVE on all 7 roots tested. It is called
SUGGESTIVE and not established, for three reasons: only 1 of 7 roots reach significance on
their own, the pooled p-value is overstated because the roots share market days, and the
sample is five months of one year.
QUINTILES OF DEALER GAMMA AT SPOT -> WHAT THE NEXT SESSION DID (pooled, within-root cuts)
Q n next range middle half breakeven ratio path eff failed breakouts
1 224 1.78% 1.06-2.90% 1.67% 1.06 0.465 33.7% of 199
2 208 1.73% 1.16-2.54% 1.77% 0.97 0.460 31.9% of 182
3 216 1.86% 1.16-2.76% 1.76% 1.04 0.450 35.0% of 203
4 208 1.73% 0.99-2.65% 1.52% 1.09 0.517 29.8% of 191
5 216 1.53% 0.91-2.36% 1.38% 1.09 0.426 36.3% of 190
Q1 = most NEGATIVE dealer gamma (blast end) Q5 = most POSITIVE (jagged/pinned end)
! POOLED SIGNIFICANCE IS OVERSTATED. The roots share the same market days and SPY/SPX/QQQ are
close to the same trade, so a pooled n is not that many independent observations — the
effective n is nearer the per-root session count.
! SPXW is excluded from every pooled set: same underlying as SPX, so its outcome rows are
duplicates.
! THE WEEKEND ARTEFACT. breakeven divides by sqrt(252) TRADING days, so a Friday reading is
compared against a Monday session carrying three calendar days of risk. Measured below as
friday_artefact. Friday rows carry weekend_span=true.
! 2026 only. The OI-weighted gamma archive starts 2026-03-02 (the OCC open-interest purchase
window), so there is no multi-year sample and no other market regime in it.
! This measures ASSOCIATION on banked sessions. It is not a trading result and carries no
costs, slippage or capacity.
! DIFFERENT CONSTRUCTION FROM THE LIVE READ. These hit rates are measured on the DAILY
DOLLAR-GEX AGGREGATE, because that is the only per-session gamma that exists back through
2026-02. The live panel on this page is built on per-strike NETTED CONTRACT COUNTS from the
5-minute chain recorder, which only starts 2026-08-05. Dollar gamma at a strike explodes as
spot approaches it and collapses as it leaves, so the aggregate is exactly the weaker
construction — this table does not validate the live measure exactly, and it is not
claimed to.
-- HOW FRESH, AND WHAT IS STALE BY DESIGN --
options chain 2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00 expected every 5m
profile build 2026-09-15T16:50:36Z expected every 10m
open interest 2026-09-15 expected every 1d [settled once overnight — a day behind by market structure, not by neglect]
daily history 2026-09-11 expected every 1d [settled once overnight — a day behind by market structure, not by neglect]
NQ futures 2026-09-15T16:50:00+00:00 expected every 5m
bull/bear archive 2026-09-14 expected every 1d [settled once overnight — a day behind by market structure, not by neglect]
server clock now 2026-09-15T16:53:30Z (skew baseline only — NEVER a data timestamp)
chain_day 2026-09-15
chain_asof 2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00
chain_phase rth
chain_built 2026-09-15T16:50:36Z
chain_cadence every 5 minutes in regular trading hours, plus a pre-open and a post-close bracket
open_interest PREVIOUS session, settled overnight by the clearing house. It does not move intraday — a market-structure fact, not a defect.
history_last 2026-09-11
history_gex_window from 2026-03-02 (the OCC open-interest purchase); continues past 2026-08-04 from the live chain recorder rather than ending there
validation_built 2026-09-15T09:20:02Z
open-interest census 1628 known, 0 MISSING (excluded, never zeroed), 484 genuine zeros
-- STANDING CAUTION --
Gamma is not destiny. A large enough directional move overwhelms even a very big wall of dealer
gamma — the hedging flow described here is one force among several, and it is the one that
gets run over when something bigger arrives. Everything on this page describes how the option
book is positioned; none of it is a statement about what price does next.
generated 2026-09-15T16:53:30Z · full JSON: /apps2/gex/api.php?sym=QQQ&full=1
{
"ok": true,
"sym": "QQQ",
"symbols": [
"SPY",
"QQQ",
"IWM",
"SPX",
"AAPL",
"MSFT",
"NVDA",
"TSLA",
"VIX"
],
"generated_utc": "2026-09-15T16:53:30Z",
"question": "Is the market set up to BLAST in a direction, or chop in jagged broken shards?",
"pctl_basis": {
"local_gamma": "percentile against this root's own banked daily history \u2014 ORIENTATION ONLY, because the banked series is the daily dollar aggregate and the live figure is per-strike from the 5-minute recorder",
"zdte_share": "the share itself (0-100), not a percentile",
"wall_room": "percentile against this root's own banked wall spans",
"flip_dist": "percentile against this root's own banked distances",
"paid_vs_realised": "percentile against every banked session's own realised-range-over-breakeven ratio"
},
"range": {
"breakeven_pct": 1.4545944790447642,
"breakeven_from": "front at-the-money implied vol 23.09% (expiry 2026-09-16) / sqrt(252)",
"breakeven_note": "the one-day move the option market is charging for. Part B found this is the figure that carries the information; the gamma reading did not add to it.",
"gamma_conditional": {
"q": 1,
"n": 28,
"median": 1.3746,
"p25": 1.0396,
"p75": 1.68,
"basis": "sessions whose banked at-spot gamma fell in the same quintile as this reading"
},
"wall_span_pct": 2.1263406400540483,
"last_session_sampled_pct": 0.7626475095660514,
"paid_vs_realised": 0.5243024915555048,
"weekend_caveat": null
},
"verdict": {
"book": "session",
"book_note": "Built on the book as it stands in the latest 5-minute snapshot, including contracts expiring today.",
"regime": "short",
"decay": "slow",
"pin": "away",
"lean": "none",
"regime_from": "net dealer gamma inside +/-1% of spot, as a share of the gross gamma in that band",
"regime_net_share": -0.9865322069155231,
"decay_from": "share of the session book's gross gamma expiring today",
"decay_share": 0.33188280035623313,
"cuts": {
"flat_net_share_below": 0.2,
"fast_decay_at": 0.5,
"pin_within_pct": 0.25,
"lean_needs_pct": 0.15
}
},
"levels": {
"spot": 705.4373,
"as_of": "2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00",
"phase": "rth",
"local_gamma_at_spot": -1578478568.4128325,
"local_strike": 705,
"local_band_1pct": -4248974323.216081,
"local_band_n": 14,
"local_band_pct": 1,
"local_band_widened": false,
"local_band_thin": false,
"call_wall_book": 720,
"put_wall_book": 705,
"total_gex": -5300347962.2984295,
"total_gex_x": -5434109495.896113,
"call_wall": 720,
"put_wall": 705,
"call_wall_contracts": 800,
"put_wall_contracts": 700,
"gamma_center": 701.0828448699253,
"gamma_flip": null,
"room_up_pct": 2.0643507225943325,
"room_down_pct": 0.06198991745971614,
"centre_offset_pct": -0.6172703272246465,
"zdte_gamma_share": 0.33188280035623313,
"session_book_total_gex": -5300347962.2984295,
"session_book_local": -1578478568.4128325,
"decay_of_local": 0.870952068990191
},
"pctl": {
"local_gamma": 2.2,
"zdte_share": 33.2,
"wall_room": 49.6,
"flip_dist": null,
"paid_vs_realised": 3.4
},
"indices": [
{
"key": "spx",
"label": "S&P 500",
"unit": "percent change from the cash close",
"anchor_ts": 1789490881,
"anchor_value": 7588.15,
"cash_note": "SPX cash from the 5-minute chain recorder",
"futures_product": "ES",
"futures_ticker": "ESZ6",
"handoff_ts": 1789491000,
"series": [
[
1789477681,
0.4195
],
[
1789479182,
0.4195
],
[
1789479481,
0.4195
],
[
1789479781,
0.4195
],
[
1789480081,
0.2555
],
[
1789480381,
0.2691
],
[
1789480681,
0.258
],
[
1789480982,
0.2505
],
[
1789481282,
0.2642
],
[
1789481582,
0.2591
],
[
1789481881,
0.1964
],
[
1789482182,
0.1255
],
[
1789482481,
0.0617
],
[
1789482781,
0.0876
],
[
1789483081,
-0.0502
],
[
1789483381,
-0.0145
],
[
1789483681,
-0.0395
],
[
1789483981,
-0.0721
],
[
1789484281,
-0.0691
],
[
1789484581,
-0.072
],
[
1789484881,
-0.1832
],
[
1789485181,
-0.1405
],
[
1789485482,
-0.1177
],
[
1789485781,
-0.1012
],
[
1789486081,
-0.0971
],
[
1789486381,
-0.0611
],
[
1789486681,
-0.0542
],
[
1789486982,
-0.0453
],
[
1789487281,
-0.0808
],
[
1789487581,
-0.0395
],
[
1789487881,
-0.009
],
[
1789488183,
-0.0505
],
[
1789488481,
-0.0601
],
[
1789488781,
-0.0552
],
[
1789489081,
-0.0597
],
[
1789489381,
-0.1066
],
[
1789489681,
-0.1227
],
[
1789489982,
-0.1003
],
[
1789490281,
-0.0428
],
[
1789490581,
0.0125
],
[
1789490881,
0
],
[
1789491000,
0.049
]
],
"now_pct": 0.049,
"now_ts": 1789491000,
"n_cash": 41,
"n_total": 42
},
{
"key": "nas100",
"label": "NAS100",
"unit": "percent change from the cash close",
"anchor_ts": 1789490881,
"anchor_value": 705.4373,
"cash_note": "QQQ cash from the 5-minute chain recorder, used as the NAS100 proxy \u2014 we bank QQQ per snapshot, not NDX",
"futures_product": "NQ",
"futures_ticker": "NQZ6",
"handoff_ts": 1789491000,
"series": [
[
1789477681,
0.6043
],
[
1789479182,
0.4824
],
[
1789479481,
0.4554
],
[
1789479781,
0.4653
],
[
1789480081,
0.3831
],
[
1789480381,
0.4342
],
[
1789480681,
0.4313
],
[
1789480982,
0.5036
],
[
1789481282,
0.4838
],
[
1789481582,
0.5178
],
[
1789481881,
0.4668
],
[
1789482182,
0.3307
],
[
1789482481,
0.2555
],
[
1789482781,
0.2692
],
[
1789483081,
0.0968
],
[
1789483381,
0.1475
],
[
1789483681,
0.1305
],
[
1789483981,
0.0528
],
[
1789484281,
0.0183
],
[
1789484581,
0.0288
],
[
1789484881,
-0.1584
],
[
1789485181,
-0.1265
],
[
1789485482,
-0.0662
],
[
1789485781,
-0.0044
],
[
1789486081,
-0.028
],
[
1789486381,
0.0199
],
[
1789486681,
0.011
],
[
1789486982,
0.0302
],
[
1789487281,
-0.0439
],
[
1789487581,
-0.0015
],
[
1789487881,
0.0188
],
[
1789488183,
-0.0226
],
[
1789488481,
0
],
[
1789488781,
0.0124
],
[
1789489081,
0.0098
],
[
1789489381,
-0.0622
],
[
1789489681,
-0.1304
],
[
1789489982,
-0.0755
],
[
1789490281,
0.0216
],
[
1789490581,
0.0457
],
[
1789490881,
0
],
[
1789491000,
0.0675
]
],
"now_pct": 0.0675,
"now_ts": 1789491000,
"n_cash": 41,
"n_total": 42
}
],
"indices_note": "SPX and NAS100 are drawn as PERCENT CHANGE SINCE THE CASH CLOSE, not in their own points. That keeps them on a single shared axis, keeps their numbers away from this symbol's price scale, and makes the two directly comparable with each other \u2014 which is the reason to show both. They are market context and appear on every symbol; the price line's pairing to a specific future is a separate and stricter rule. Each index runs on its own cash prints up to the close and on its front future after it, with both legs divided by their own value at the anchor, so the handoff is continuous and the basis never shows up as a jump.",
"futures": {
"product": "NQ",
"name": "E-mini Nasdaq-100",
"ticker": "NQZ6",
"root": "QQQ",
"anchor": {
"ts": 1789490700,
"iso": "2026-09-15T16:45:00+00:00",
"future_close": 29274.25,
"root_spot": 705.4373
},
"now": {
"ts": 1789491000,
"iso": "2026-09-15T16:50:00+00:00",
"future_close": 29294,
"root_equivalent": 705.9132,
"age_s": 210
},
"chg_pct": 0.0675,
"series": [
[
1789490700,
705.4373
],
[
1789491000,
705.9132
]
],
"conversion": "NQ shown as QQQ-equivalent: NQ now 29,294.00, NQ at the Tue close 29,274.25, so 705.44 x (29,294.00 / 29,274.25) = 705.91. The move in the future since the cash close, applied to QQQ's price at that close \u2014 the basis and the index/ETF ratio cancel out, so no ratio is estimated.",
"scale": "shared \u2014 the overlay is in the same units as the wall levels",
"liquidity": {
"rth_avg_vol_per_5min": 2138,
"overnight_avg_vol_per_5min": 344,
"overnight_share": 0.161,
"note": "Overnight futures liquidity is far thinner than the regular session. A wall approached at 03:00 on light volume is not the same event as one approached at 14:00, and neither this page nor the dealer hedging behind the wall treats it as one."
},
"vs_levels": {
"call_wall": {
"level": 720,
"label": "call wall",
"dist_pct": 1.996,
"side": "below"
},
"put_wall": {
"level": 705,
"label": "put wall",
"dist_pct": -0.129,
"side": "above"
},
"gamma_center": {
"level": 701.0828448699253,
"label": "gamma centre",
"dist_pct": -0.684,
"side": "above"
}
},
"reading": "NQ has traded up 0.07% since the cash close, which puts QQQ at about 705.91. That sits 2.00% below the call wall at 720.00 and 0.13% above the put wall at 705.00. The wall levels themselves are frozen from the last session's settled open interest and do not move until the next session settles.",
"why_mixed_vintage": "The wall levels and the futures price are deliberately from DIFFERENT CLOCKS. Wall levels come from settled open interest, which the clearing house publishes overnight and does not revise during a session \u2014 so a wall is a constant until the next settlement, not a stale reading. Futures trade around the clock. Comparing the two is what shows whether price is drifting toward or away from the level while the cash market is shut.",
"hedging_is_not_active": "The dealer hedging that would enforce a wall is largely NOT ACTIVE while the cash market is shut, so an overnight approach to a level is not the same event as a daytime one. The caveat about which side dealers are actually on applies here more strongly, not less.",
"no_predictive_claim": "This overlay adds no predictive power, and this app measured that: when price reached the call wall it closed back below only 37.2% of the time against 38.0% for an arbitrary level the same distance away. The overlay shows WHERE price is relative to a frozen level, nothing more."
},
"ladder": {
"spot": 705.4373,
"resistance": [
{
"level": 800,
"side": "resistance",
"rank": "largest",
"is_headline_wall": true,
"is_dollar_gamma_wall": false,
"kind": "call wall",
"dist_pts": 94.56,
"dist_pct": 13.405,
"net_contracts": 58387,
"call_contracts": 58387,
"put_contracts": 0,
"share_of_book": 0.0348,
"gex": 4921465.998503449,
"call_heavy": true,
"does": "The heaviest call hedging overhead. On the usual assumption that dealers are LONG these calls, staying hedged means selling into rallies as price approaches \u2014 which is what would slow a move here."
},
{
"level": 750,
"side": "resistance",
"rank": "2nd largest",
"is_headline_wall": false,
"is_dollar_gamma_wall": false,
"kind": "secondary call concentration",
"dist_pts": 44.56,
"dist_pct": 6.317,
"net_contracts": 52390,
"call_contracts": 52421,
"put_contracts": 31,
"share_of_book": 0.0312,
"gex": 14849463.205591487,
"call_heavy": true,
"does": "A further band of call hedging above price, lighter than the wall but closer to the tape than the numbers alone suggest. The same mechanics apply, at smaller size."
},
{
"level": 730,
"side": "resistance",
"rank": "3rd largest",
"is_headline_wall": false,
"is_dollar_gamma_wall": false,
"kind": "secondary call concentration",
"dist_pts": 24.56,
"dist_pct": 3.482,
"net_contracts": 40849,
"call_contracts": 50423,
"put_contracts": 9574,
"share_of_book": 0.0243,
"gex": 116137644.53987132,
"call_heavy": true,
"does": "A further band of call hedging above price, lighter than the wall but closer to the tape than the numbers alone suggest. The same mechanics apply, at smaller size."
}
],
"support": [
{
"level": 700,
"side": "support",
"rank": "largest",
"is_headline_wall": true,
"is_dollar_gamma_wall": false,
"kind": "put wall",
"dist_pts": -5.44,
"dist_pct": -0.771,
"net_contracts": -102834,
"call_contracts": 31568,
"put_contracts": 134402,
"share_of_book": 0.0613,
"gex": -1291947074.8354146,
"call_heavy": false,
"does": "The heaviest put hedging below. On the usual assumption that dealers are SHORT these puts, staying hedged means buying as price falls toward it \u2014 which is what would cushion a move here."
},
{
"level": 650,
"side": "support",
"rank": "2nd largest",
"is_headline_wall": false,
"is_dollar_gamma_wall": false,
"kind": "secondary put concentration",
"dist_pts": -55.44,
"dist_pct": -7.859,
"net_contracts": -64083,
"call_contracts": 6977,
"put_contracts": 71060,
"share_of_book": 0.0382,
"gex": -38736658.09968793,
"call_heavy": false,
"does": "A further band of put hedging below price, lighter than the wall. The same mechanics apply, at smaller size."
},
{
"level": 600,
"side": "support",
"rank": "3rd largest",
"is_headline_wall": false,
"is_dollar_gamma_wall": false,
"kind": "secondary put concentration",
"dist_pts": -105.44,
"dist_pct": -14.946,
"net_contracts": -50024,
"call_contracts": 6022,
"put_contracts": 56046,
"share_of_book": 0.0298,
"gex": -4869055.663588219,
"call_heavy": false,
"does": "A further band of put hedging below price, lighter than the wall. The same mechanics apply, at smaller size."
}
],
"ranked_by": "netted contract count at the strike (call open interest minus put open interest), as a share of the netted contracts across the whole band",
"regime_boundary": null,
"magnet": {
"level": 701.0828448699253,
"dist_pts": -4.35,
"dist_pct": -0.617,
"label": "MAGNET \u2014 the opposite of a barrier",
"means": "The gamma-weighted centre of the book: the level hedging flow pulls price TOWARD, rather than a level that pushes price away. Price sitting on it is the pinned configuration."
},
"book": "session",
"qualifier": "These are where dealer hedging CONCENTRATES. They are not levels price is obliged to respect: a big enough directional move overwhelms even a massive wall of gamma.",
"measured": {
"headline": "MEASURED, THE WALLS DID NOT ACT AS SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE. When the tape actually reached the call wall it closed back below it only 39.6% of the time (n=288) \u2014 against 40.7% for a level placed the same distance away with no gamma in it at all (difference -1.1 points, p=0.75). The put wall held 41.1% of the 209 times price reached it, against a placebo of 41.4% (-0.3 points, p=0.99). Neither is distinguishable from an arbitrary level, and the call wall was BROKEN more often than it held.",
"call_hold_rate": 0.3958,
"call_n": 288,
"put_hold_rate": 0.4115,
"put_n": 209,
"ranking_consequence": "So the ladder on the page CANNOT rank levels by a measured reliability, because no such reliability was found. It ranks them by raw concentration \u2014 how much of the book sits at that strike \u2014 and prints this null result beside the labels rather than implying a strength the data does not support."
},
"dealer_side_caveat": "WHICH SIDE ARE DEALERS ACTUALLY ON? This is the one thing gamma exposure cannot see, and it decides whether a wall brakes or accelerates. Every number here INFERS it from a convention \u2014 that customers sell calls and buy puts, so dealers end up long calls and short puts, which is what makes a call wall behave like a ceiling. When that convention is wrong the sign flips with it: if customers are BUYING calls, dealers are SHORT them, and staying hedged means buying INTO a rally through the same strike \u2014 the level becomes an accelerant instead of a brake. On the book these levels are drawn from, 33.2% of the gross gamma sits at the front expiry \u2014 the short-dated, retail-facing end of the chain, where that assumption is least safe. Nothing on this page can confirm the direction, so read the labels as where hedging is concentrated, not as which way it will push."
},
"regime": {
"book": "session",
"has": true,
"regime": "amplifying",
"at_spot": -4790968642,
"flip": 713.4464,
"flip_side": "below",
"flip_dist_pct": 1.135,
"spot": 705.4373,
"census": {
"oi_used": 2517775,
"oi_missing_iv": 30627,
"n_session": 1086,
"n_forward": 904,
"n_0dte": 182,
"n_rest": 904
},
"assumptions": "MODELLED, NOT MEASURED. Each contract is repriced with Black-Scholes gamma while its implied vol and days-to-expiry are held FIXED and spot is hypothetically moved (a sticky-strike assumption); r=0; same-day options are floored to 1 day of time so their gamma stays finite (they are removed entirely on the forward book); the contract universe is identical to the per-strike chart (+/-15% of spot, nearest 6 expiries); OI-weighted, never volume; calls +1, puts -1, netted per contract.",
"estimator": "Black-Scholes gamma from each contract's own implied vol \u2014 the same estimator family as this page's \"our own Black-Scholes solve\" figure (total_gex_x), never the vendor gamma and never fused with it."
},
"position_greeks": {
"book": "session",
"has": true,
"spot": 705.4373,
"as_of": "2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00",
"src": "gamma/data/chain x-block + header texp/rate/q; OI-only; never volume",
"T_floor_minutes": 5,
"at_spot": {
"gamma": -5850067343,
"gamma_0dte": -2973832444,
"gamma_rest": -2876234900,
"charm": -752221021891,
"charm_per_day": -2059468917,
"charm_0dte": -111819207958,
"charm_rest": -640401813933,
"vanna": 36473848112,
"vanna_per_volpt": 364738481,
"vanna_0dte": 1355912095,
"vanna_rest": 35117936017,
"charm_x": -794672339361,
"vanna_x": 38748649390
},
"hedge": {
"charm": {
"word": "buy",
"per_day": -2059468917,
"say": "Time passing is forcing dealers to BUY the underlying to stay hedged (they are decaying into a shorter delta). Under the usual dealer-side convention only \u2014 if the convention is wrong, they sell instead."
},
"vanna": {
"word": "buy_if_iv_falls",
"per_volpt": 364738481,
"say": "If implied vol FALLS 1 point, dealers would have to BUY the underlying to stay hedged (and SELL if vol rises). Under the usual dealer-side convention only."
}
},
"charm_flip": 736.9964,
"charm_flip_dist_pct": 4.474,
"charm_flip_side": "below",
"vanna_flip": 682.4216,
"vanna_flip_dist_pct": 3.263,
"vanna_flip_side": "above",
"n_contracts": 983,
"n_0dte": 99,
"gamma_late": -7187638683,
"gamma_late_0dte": -4260489584,
"gamma_late_rest": -2927149099,
"gamma_late_flip": 712.5409,
"late_clock": {
"late_ts": 1789501500,
"late_iso": "2026-09-15T19:45:00Z",
"why": null,
"rule": "15:45 America/New_York, or 15 minutes before the front expiry instant, whichever is sooner"
},
"zero_dte_flow": {
"is_position": false,
"means": "Contracts traded TODAY in the same-day expiry. This is activity, not inventory. OCC open interest on a strike listed this morning is 0 all session; that 0 is real. Volume is never swapped in as a GEX weight.",
"by_strike": [
{
"k": 600,
"call_vol": 10,
"put_vol": 15,
"vol": 25,
"call_oi": 13,
"put_oi": 66,
"call_oi_zero": false,
"put_oi_zero": false,
"call_vol_missing": false,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 605,
"call_vol": 30,
"put_vol": 44,
"vol": 74,
"call_oi": 30,
"put_oi": 171,
"call_oi_zero": false,
"put_oi_zero": false,
"call_vol_missing": false,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 610,
"call_vol": 1,
"put_vol": 272,
"vol": 273,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 295,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": false,
"call_vol_missing": false,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 615,
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"put_vol": 204,
"vol": 204,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 660,
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"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 620,
"call_vol": 1,
"put_vol": 428,
"vol": 429,
"call_oi": 1,
"put_oi": 1100,
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"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 625,
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"put_vol": 2403,
"vol": 2433,
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"put_oi": 1550,
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},
{
"k": 630,
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"vol": 2376,
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},
{
"k": 631,
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"vol": 2074,
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{
"k": 632,
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"vol": 3413,
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{
"k": 633,
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"vol": 2642,
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{
"k": 634,
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"vol": 3112,
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{
"k": 635,
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"vol": 1,
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{
"k": 636,
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"vol": 2702,
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{
"k": 637,
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"vol": 5,
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{
"k": 638,
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"vol": 2940,
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{
"k": 639,
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"vol": 2886,
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{
"k": 640,
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"vol": 4,
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{
"k": 641,
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"vol": 5,
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{
"k": 642,
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"vol": 2533,
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{
"k": 643,
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"vol": 2021,
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{
"k": 644,
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"vol": 7,
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{
"k": 645,
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{
"k": 646,
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{
"k": 647,
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"vol": 3768,
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{
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{
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"vol": 5,
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{
"k": 650,
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{
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{
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{
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"vol": 13,
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{
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"vol": 3,
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{
"k": 655,
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{
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"vol": 2,
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{
"k": 657,
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{
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{
"k": 659,
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"vol": 2859,
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{
"k": 660,
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{
"k": 661,
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
"k": 665,
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},
{
"k": 666,
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},
{
"k": 667,
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"vol": 7,
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},
{
"k": 668,
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},
{
"k": 669,
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"vol": 114,
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},
{
"k": 670,
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"vol": 673,
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},
{
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"k": 751,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": 19,
"vol": 19,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 752,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": 15,
"vol": 15,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 753,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": 8,
"vol": 8,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 754,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": 12,
"vol": 12,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 755,
"call_vol": 3,
"put_vol": 20,
"vol": 23,
"call_oi": 165,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": false,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": false,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 756,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": 14,
"vol": 14,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 757,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": 15,
"vol": 15,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 758,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": 15,
"vol": 15,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 759,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": 5,
"vol": 5,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 760,
"call_vol": 11,
"put_vol": 5,
"vol": 16,
"call_oi": 42,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": false,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": false,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 765,
"call_vol": 5,
"put_vol": 13,
"vol": 18,
"call_oi": 5,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": false,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": false,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 770,
"call_vol": 5,
"put_vol": 10,
"vol": 15,
"call_oi": 10,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": false,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": false,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 775,
"call_vol": 2,
"put_vol": 21,
"vol": 23,
"call_oi": 2,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": false,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": false,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 780,
"call_vol": 1,
"put_vol": 7,
"vol": 8,
"call_oi": 2,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": false,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": false,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 785,
"call_vol": 3,
"put_vol": 3,
"vol": 6,
"call_oi": 3,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": false,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": false,
"put_vol_missing": false
},
{
"k": 790,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": null,
"vol": 0,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": true
},
{
"k": 795,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": null,
"vol": 0,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": true
},
{
"k": 800,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": null,
"vol": 0,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": true
},
{
"k": 805,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": null,
"vol": 0,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": true
},
{
"k": 810,
"call_vol": null,
"put_vol": 1,
"vol": 1,
"call_oi": 0,
"put_oi": 0,
"call_oi_zero": true,
"put_oi_zero": true,
"call_vol_missing": true,
"put_vol_missing": false
}
],
"totals_in_band": {
"call_vol": 1667221,
"put_vol": 1642171,
"vol": 3309392,
"n": 294,
"n_oi_zero": 95,
"n_oi_zero_with_vol": 49,
"n_oi_pos": 199,
"vol_on_oi_zero": 337,
"vol_on_oi_pos": 3309055,
"vol_missing": 47,
"oi_known": 294
},
"totals_all_0dte": {
"call_vol": 1667264,
"put_vol": 1658209,
"vol": 3325473,
"n": 390,
"n_oi_zero_with_vol": 54,
"note": "Includes same-day contracts outside the \u00b115% GEX band. In-band overlay can hide lotto prints; this total exists so they are not silent."
},
"gap": {
"oi_zero_with_vol": "Listed this morning, trading, no standing OI \u2014 the VolSignals 0DTE lines we cannot sign.",
"oi_pos_with_vol": "Friday weeklies / leftover OI: inventory is in zero_dte_profile; this volume is still today's prints, not a second position.",
"vol_missing": "day.volume not supplied (DATA_GAP). Distinct from vol=0 (NO_FLOW)."
}
},
"census": {
"n_session": 983,
"n_forward": 884,
"n_0dte": 99,
"xiv_used": 983,
"xiv_missing": 161,
"texp_missing": 0,
"q_empty": 0,
"rate_missing": 0,
"xcharm_known": 983,
"xcharm_missing": 161,
"xvanna_known": 983,
"xvanna_missing": 161,
"why_excluded": "oi missing \u2192 not a position. oi=0 \u2192 no standing inventory (typical same-morning 0DTE). xiv empty \u2192 x-block unidentifiable, not filled from vendor iv. texp empty \u2192 tenor unknown, not replaced with the 1-day regime floor."
},
"assumptions": "MODELLED, NOT MEASURED. Same signed book as the per-strike GEX chart (\u00b115% of spot, nearest 6 expiries, OI-only, never volume). Time remaining is the clock to the banked expiry instant, not a 1-day floor \u2014 so 0DTE gamma and charm into the close are visible here and hidden on the regime curve above (that curve keeps the 1-day floor so it stays comparable to the banked history). The late-day gamma slice is the SAME open-interest book with less time left \u2014 not a forecast of trades or of price. 0DTE contracts with oi=0 do not appear. The dealer-side sign is the usual convention (customers sell calls / buy puts) and is often wrong; VolSignals showed 20 of 36 large 0DTE lines carrying the wrong sign under it. Read the NUMBERS as concentrations; read the DIRECTION as an assumption.",
"estimator": "Black-Scholes gamma, vanna and charm from each contract's locally-solved xiv (never vendor iv), r and q from the snapshot header (same inputs as the x-block), sticky-strike, OI-weighted, calls +1 / puts -1. The xcharm/xvanna sums (at_spot.charm_x / vanna_x) use the chain's already-banked local greeks at A2C_TFLOOR and are NEVER fused with the repriced live-T curves. A disagreement between at_spot and at_spot.charm_x on 0DTE is information: the archive is pinned at ~12 hours all session.",
"expiry_convention": "Remaining time is ACT/365.25 years from the snapshot clock to the banked texp INSTANT (AM 09:30 ET for SPX/NDX/RUT monthlies, PM 16:00 ET for ETFs, singles and weeklies). Same-day tenor is floored to 5 minutes so gamma stays finite. This is NOT the 1-day regime floor and NOT the archive's 12-hour x-block floor.",
"dealer_side_caveat": "WHICH SIDE ARE DEALERS ACTUALLY ON? These greeks cannot see it. Every sign here infers dealers long calls and short puts. When customers have been BUYING calls, dealers are short them and a \"long\" line is actually a short \u2014 the absorb/amplify label flips. Nothing on this page confirms the direction. VolSignals, 2026-08-31: 20 of 36 SPX 0DTE lines over 300 contracts carried the opposite sign under this convention.",
"not_the_regime": "These numbers are not an input to verdict.regime / decay / pin / lean.",
"unit_gamma": "dealer gamma, dollars per 1% move \u2014 time-aware T from texp, NOT the 1-day-floor regime curve",
"unit_charm": "dealer dollar-delta per year (divide by 365.25 for per calendar day)",
"unit_vanna": "dealer dollar-delta per 1.00 vol (divide by 100 for per vol-point)"
},
"charm_field": {
"v": 1,
"has": true,
"why": null,
"sym": "QQQ",
"as_of": "2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00",
"ts": 1789490881,
"spot": 705.4373,
"book": "session",
"clock": {
"session": "2026-09-15",
"from_iso": "2026-09-15T16:50:00Z",
"to_iso": "2026-09-15T20:00:00Z",
"step_min": 5,
"steps": 39,
"expiry_instant_iso": "2026-09-15T20:00:00Z",
"early_close": false,
"holiday_source": "https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars",
"holiday_calendar_ok": true
},
"levels": [
691.5,
692,
692.5,
693,
693.5,
694,
694.5,
695,
695.5,
696,
696.5,
697,
697.5,
698,
698.5,
699,
699.5,
700,
700.5,
701,
701.5,
702,
702.5,
703,
703.5,
704,
704.5,
705,
705.5,
706,
706.5,
707,
707.5,
708,
708.5,
709,
709.5,
710,
710.5,
711,
711.5,
712,
712.5,
713,
713.5,
714,
714.5,
715,
715.5,
716,
716.5,
717,
717.5,
718,
718.5,
719,
719.5
],
"level_step": 0.5,
"times": [
1789491000,
1789491300,
1789491600,
1789491900,
1789492200,
1789492500,
1789492800,
1789493100,
1789493400,
1789493700,
1789494000,
1789494300,
1789494600,
1789494900,
1789495200,
1789495500,
1789495800,
1789496100,
1789496400,
1789496700,
1789497000,
1789497300,
1789497600,
1789497900,
1789498200,
1789498500,
1789498800,
1789499100,
1789499400,
1789499700,
1789500000,
1789500300,
1789500600,
1789500900,
1789501200,
1789501500,
1789501800,
1789502100,
1789502400
],
"dollar_per_5m": "[39 x 57 matrix \u2014 api.php?sym=QQQ carries it in full]",
"es_per_5m": "[39 x 57 matrix \u2014 api.php?sym=QQQ carries it in full]",
"flip_by_time": [
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
null,
707.9854,
707.8133,
707.6777,
707.5735,
707.4985,
707.4729,
707.452,
707.4362,
704.539,
704.5827,
704.6241,
704.6634,
704.7006,
704.7357,
704.7688,
704.8,
704.8295,
704.8571,
704.8825,
704.9042,
704.9154,
704.8576,
704.8576
],
"pockets": [
{
"from_ts": 1789495800,
"to_ts": 1789502400,
"lo": 707.5,
"hi": 709,
"n_cells": 57,
"word": "sell",
"peak_dollar_per_5m": 32429075.78,
"peak_ts": 1789502100,
"peak_level": 708.5,
"lines": [
{
"k": 710,
"expiry": "2026-09-15",
"type": "put",
"oi": 15796,
"contrib": 9786174.62
},
{
"k": 709,
"expiry": "2026-09-15",
"type": "put",
"oi": 11430,
"contrib": 7134586.93
},
{
"k": 710,
"expiry": "2026-09-15",
"type": "call",
"oi": 8464,
"contrib": -3036759.25
}
],
"centre_ts": 1789499100,
"centre_level": 708.5,
"peak_es_per_5m": 55.149
},
{
"from_ts": 1789498200,
"to_ts": 1789502400,
"lo": 704,
"hi": 704.5,
"n_cells": 25,
"word": "sell",
"peak_dollar_per_5m": 29101469.75,
"peak_ts": 1789501800,
"peak_level": 704.5,
"lines": [
{
"k": 705,
"expiry": "2026-09-15",
"type": "put",
"oi": 17376,
"contrib": 21232959.01
},
{
"k": 704,
"expiry": "2026-09-15",
"type": "put",
"oi": 4338,
"contrib": -5213615.6
},
{
"k": 704,
"expiry": "2026-09-15",
"type": "call",
"oi": 2534,
"contrib": 3012254.38
}
],
"centre_ts": 1789500300,
"centre_level": 704.5,
"peak_es_per_5m": 49.771
},
{
"from_ts": 1789500000,
"to_ts": 1789502400,
"lo": 693.5,
"hi": 695,
"n_cells": 23,
"word": "sell",
"peak_dollar_per_5m": 27339450.52,
"peak_ts": 1789502400,
"peak_level": 694.5,
"lines": [
{
"k": 695,
"expiry": "2026-09-15",
"type": "put",
"oi": 5181,
"contrib": 9298062.57
},
{
"k": 696,
"expiry": "2026-09-15",
"type": "put",
"oi": 4070,
"contrib": 3511082.79
},
{
"k": 694,
"expiry": "2026-09-15",
"type": "put",
"oi": 1268,
"contrib": -2241591.85
}
],
"centre_ts": 1789501200,
"centre_level": 694.5,
"peak_es_per_5m": 47.431
}
],
"next_60m_at_spot": {
"level": 705.5,
"steps": 12,
"dollar": -96361630.06,
"es": -164.57,
"word": "buy",
"from_iso": "2026-09-15T16:50:00Z",
"to_iso": "2026-09-15T17:45:00Z"
},
"es_liquidity_context": {
"overnight_per_5m": 344,
"rth_per_5m": 2138,
"overnight_share": 0.161,
"measured": "Average NQ contracts per 5-minute bar over the last 5 days of bars, split at 13:30-20:00 UTC. Measured by futures.php on this build, not typed in.",
"note": "Overnight futures liquidity is far thinner than the regular session. A wall approached at 03:00 on light volume is not the same event as one approached at 14:00, and neither this page nor the dealer hedging behind the wall treats it as one."
},
"units": {
"dollar_per_5m": "dealer dollar-delta the hedge must trade over ONE 5-minute step at that level, with the index standing still: the same charm sum as the panel above (dollar-delta per year) x 5/525960.",
"es_per_5m": "dollar_per_5m divided by (that index level expressed in the paired future x the future's contract multiplier). The index-to-future conversion is the page's existing anchor ratio (futures.php) and is applied when this payload is READ, not when it is banked, so it always uses the live front month.",
"sign": "negative = dealers BUY under the convention; positive = they SELL",
"word": "\"buy\" / \"sell\" is the word for the sign above. next_60m_at_spot.word is \"flat\" only when the 60-minute sum is exactly zero or unavailable \u2014 no size threshold is invented for it.",
"level_step": "0.5 dollars \u2014 the level axis is snapped to whole steps. The regime curve's own grid is coarser than this across +/-2%."
},
"pocket_rule": "A POCKET is a run of cells whose sign DISAGREES with the sign of the band around them.\n\n Definition, operational, so the reader and the pa dashboard mean the same thing by the word:\n 1. In each time column the levels are split at that column's flip (the whole column if there\n is no flip inside the grid).\n 2. Each side's BAND SIGN is the sign held by most of that side's cells (ties go to the sign of\n the side's sum).\n 3. A cell is a candidate when its own sign is non-zero and differs from its side's band sign.\n 4. Candidates touching each other in time or in level (4-neighbour) form one pocket.\n 5. A pocket is kept only if it spans at least min_t time steps and min_l levels.",
"method": "The charm sum of the session book, evaluated on a grid instead of at one instant. For each cell (t, S) every contract is repriced with remaining time from t to its OWN banked expiry instant (ACT/365.25, floored to 5 minutes) and with spot held at S; its implied vol, strike, open interest, r and q are unchanged (sticky-strike, exactly as the panel above). A contract whose expiry instant has already passed at t is EXCLUDED from that column and counted (census.expired_at_last_step) \u2014 never floored into a position that no longer exists. Volume is never used. This is a picture of the SAME open interest with less time left, not a forecast of trades or of price.",
"assumptions": "MODELLED, NOT MEASURED. Same signed book as the per-strike GEX chart (\u00b115% of spot, nearest 6 expiries, OI-only, never volume). Time remaining is the clock to the banked expiry instant, not a 1-day floor \u2014 so 0DTE gamma and charm into the close are visible here and hidden on the regime curve above (that curve keeps the 1-day floor so it stays comparable to the banked history). The late-day gamma slice is the SAME open-interest book with less time left \u2014 not a forecast of trades or of price. 0DTE contracts with oi=0 do not appear. The dealer-side sign is the usual convention (customers sell calls / buy puts) and is often wrong; VolSignals showed 20 of 36 large 0DTE lines carrying the wrong sign under it. Read the NUMBERS as concentrations; read the DIRECTION as an assumption.",
"dealer_side_caveat": "WHICH SIDE ARE DEALERS ACTUALLY ON? These greeks cannot see it. Every sign here infers dealers long calls and short puts. When customers have been BUYING calls, dealers are short them and a \"long\" line is actually a short \u2014 the absorb/amplify label flips. Nothing on this page confirms the direction. VolSignals, 2026-08-31: 20 of 36 SPX 0DTE lines over 300 contracts carried the opposite sign under this convention.",
"not_the_regime": "These numbers are not an input to verdict.regime / decay / pin / lean.",
"census": {
"n_contracts": 983,
"n_used_max": 983,
"expired_at_last_step": 0,
"cells": 2223,
"kernel_vs_pg_charm_rel_err": 6.10021870014824e-13
},
"n_contracts": 983,
"compute_ms": 928,
"book_note": "Built on the live session book, the one dealers are hedging right now.",
"es_conversion": "NQ contracts = the cell's dollars / (that index level in NQ points x 20). The index level is put into NQ points with this page's existing anchor ratio: NQ closed at 29,274.25 while QQQ stood at 705.44, so one QQQ point is 41.498018 NQ points. The basis and any index/ETF ratio cancel because both sit in the anchor. Applied when this payload is read, so it always uses the live front month.",
"es_product": "NQ",
"es_multiplier": 20,
"es_multiplier_src": "CME contract specification \u2014 a definition, not a measurement."
},
"conventional_levels": {
"band_pct": 2,
"premise": "Dealers are assumed LONG calls and SHORT puts (customers buy puts / sell calls). That is a convention, not a measurement. VolSignals, 2026-08-31, on SPX 0DTE: 20 of 36 lines with >300 contracts had the OPPOSITE sign. When the convention is wrong, every label below flips: an amplifier absorbs, an absorber amplifies.",
"amplifiers": [
{
"level": 705,
"rank": 1,
"gex": -1578478568.4128325,
"net_oi": -29502,
"call_oi": 20163,
"put_oi": 49665,
"dist_pct": -0.06198991745971614,
"dist_pts": -0.4373000000000502,
"role": "amplifier",
"does": "Under the usual assumption that dealers are short gamma here, hedging would AMPLIFY a move through this strike. We cannot see who is actually short. If customers bought these options, dealers are short and this behaves as a test; if the convention is wrong, it absorbs instead."
},
{
"level": 700,
"rank": 2,
"gex": -1291947074.8354146,
"net_oi": -102834,
"call_oi": 31568,
"put_oi": 134402,
"dist_pct": -0.7707701308110657,
"dist_pts": -5.43730000000005,
"role": "amplifier",
"does": "Under the usual assumption that dealers are short gamma here, hedging would AMPLIFY a move through this strike. We cannot see who is actually short. If customers bought these options, dealers are short and this behaves as a test; if the convention is wrong, it absorbs instead."
},
{
"level": 709,
"rank": 3,
"gex": -269917126.5131335,
"net_oi": -10997,
"call_oi": 5330,
"put_oi": 16327,
"dist_pct": 0.5050342532213634,
"dist_pts": 3.56269999999995,
"role": "amplifier",
"does": "Under the usual assumption that dealers are short gamma here, hedging would AMPLIFY a move through this strike. We cannot see who is actually short. If customers bought these options, dealers are short and this behaves as a test; if the convention is wrong, it absorbs instead."
}
],
"absorbers": [
{
"level": 717,
"rank": 1,
"gex": 49279539.60911072,
"net_oi": 7266,
"call_oi": 10088,
"put_oi": 2822,
"dist_pct": 1.6390825945835228,
"dist_pts": 11.56269999999995,
"role": "absorber",
"does": "Under the usual assumption that dealers are long gamma here, hedging would ABSORB a move through this strike \u2014 selling rallies, buying dips. We cannot see who is actually long. If the convention is wrong, it amplifies instead."
},
{
"level": 719,
"rank": 2,
"gex": 45949971.3278734,
"net_oi": 8011,
"call_oi": 10871,
"put_oi": 2860,
"dist_pct": 1.9225946799240625,
"dist_pts": 13.56269999999995,
"role": "absorber",
"does": "Under the usual assumption that dealers are long gamma here, hedging would ABSORB a move through this strike \u2014 selling rallies, buying dips. We cannot see who is actually long. If the convention is wrong, it amplifies instead."
},
{
"level": 713,
"rank": 3,
"gex": 41446338.27809857,
"net_oi": 3502,
"call_oi": 9087,
"put_oi": 5585,
"dist_pct": 1.072058423902443,
"dist_pts": 7.56269999999995,
"role": "absorber",
"does": "Under the usual assumption that dealers are long gamma here, hedging would ABSORB a move through this strike \u2014 selling rallies, buying dips. We cannot see who is actually long. If the convention is wrong, it amplifies instead."
}
],
"book": "session",
"as_of": "2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00",
"src": "per-strike OI-weighted dollar gamma, same snapshot as the walls; dealer-side sign is a convention"
},
"migration": {
"from_iso": "2026-09-15T13:08:01+00:00",
"to_iso": "2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00",
"n_snapshots": 41,
"call_wall": [
725,
720
],
"put_wall": [
700,
705
],
"gamma_center": [
703.8345018148516,
701.0828448699253
],
"spot": [
709.7,
705.4373
],
"local_gamma_at_spot": [
-308417390.4639336,
-1578478568.4128325
],
"sign_flips": 0
},
"census": {
"n": 11432,
"in_band": 1628,
"oi_known": 1628,
"oi_missing": 0,
"oi_zero": 484,
"g_vendor": 1394,
"g_x": 1115,
"used": 1436
},
"freshness": {
"chain_day": "2026-09-15",
"chain_asof": "2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00",
"chain_phase": "rth",
"chain_built": "2026-09-15T16:50:36Z",
"now_utc": "2026-09-15T16:53:30Z",
"tiers": [
{
"key": "chain",
"label": "options chain",
"ts": "2026-09-15T16:48:01+00:00",
"cadence": 300,
"phase": "live",
"means": "The full option chain, captured every 5 minutes while the market is open and held at the last reading once it closes. Outside trading hours a held clock is correct behaviour, not a failure."
},
{
"key": "build",
"label": "profile build",
"ts": "2026-09-15T16:50:36Z",
"cadence": 600,
"phase": "live",
"means": "When the per-strike gamma profile on this page was last rebuilt from the chain archive. It rebuilds every 10 minutes while the market is open and holds at the last build once it closes \u2014 a held clock out of hours is correct, not a failure."
},
{
"key": "open interest",
"ts": "2026-09-15",
"cadence": 86400,
"mode": "date",
"phase": "settled",
"means": "Settled overnight by the clearing house for the PREVIOUS session. It does not move intraday \u2014 market structure, not neglect."
},
{
"key": "daily history",
"ts": "2026-09-11",
"cadence": 86400,
"mode": "date",
"phase": "settled",
"means": "The banked daily-close spine the history charts draw. One row per session."
},
{
"key": "futures",
"label": "NQ futures",
"ts": "2026-09-15T16:50:00+00:00",
"cadence": 300,
"phase": "live",
"means": "NQZ6, the front-month contract resolved by live volume rather than a continuous alias. It trades while the cash market is shut, which is the whole reason it can be compared against a wall level that is frozen until the next settlement."
},
{
"key": "runs archive",
"label": "bull/bear archive",
"ts": "2026-09-14",
"cadence": 86400,
"mode": "date",
"phase": "settled",
"grace": 216000,
"means": "Daily closes from 1999-03-10 to 2026-09-14, used ONLY by the optional bull/bear runs block. It extends by one row per completed session, so a day behind is normal and a week behind is not."
}
],
"chain_cadence": "every 5 minutes in regular trading hours, plus a pre-open and a post-close bracket",
"open_interest": "PREVIOUS session, settled overnight by the clearing house. It does not move intraday \u2014 a market-structure fact, not a defect.",
"history_last": "2026-09-11",
"history_gex_window": "from 2026-03-02 (the OCC open-interest purchase); continues past 2026-08-04 from the live chain recorder rather than ending there",
"validation_built": "2026-09-15T09:20:02Z"
},
"method": {
"weighting": "OI-ONLY. Never volume. A contract with no reported open interest is EXCLUDED and COUNTED (see census.oi_missing), never treated as zero.",
"oi_is_stale_by_design": "Open interest is the PREVIOUS session's settled figure, published overnight by the clearing house. It does not move intraday. A strike listed this morning legitimately reads 0 all session while millions of contracts trade. Market structure, not a data defect.",
"formula": "gex = sign * gamma * oi * 100 * spot^2 * 0.01, sign +1 call / -1 put, NET at each strike",
"band": "+/-15% of spot, nearest 6 expiries \u2014 matched to the opra-gex v2 archive the validation history is built on",
"cadence": "the recorder sweeps every 5 minutes during regular trading hours, plus a pre-open and a post-close bracket",
"primary": "NETTED CONTRACT COUNTS PER STRIKE (net_oi = call OI - put OI) are the PRIMARY read. Dollar gamma at a single strike explodes as spot approaches it and collapses as spot leaves, so a dollar-ranked wall is a moving target; the contract count is not. Dollar gamma (gex) is reported beside it as the SECONDARY.",
"construction_gap": "THE LIVE READ AND THE BACKTEST ARE NOT THE SAME CONSTRUCTION, and a reader must not assume the one validates the other exactly. This file computes per-strike NETTED CONTRACT COUNTS from the 5-minute chain recorder, which banks per-contract open interest for all 9 roots \u2014 but only from 2026-08-05 forward. The Part B validation history (2026-02 .. 2026-08-04) has no per-strike open interest at all; only the DAILY DOLLAR-GEX AGGREGATE exists back there, which is the very construction the contract-count rule warns against. So the hit rates on this page were measured on the aggregate, while the live regime read is built on the netted counts.",
"estimators": "total_gex uses the VENDOR gamma; total_gex_x uses our own Black-Scholes gamma. Never fused, never substituted \u2014 see census.g_vendor / census.g_x.",
"position_greeks": "Charm, vanna and a time-aware gamma are computed from the SAME signed OI-weighted book as the regime curve, with remaining time to the banked texp instant (5-minute floor) and locally-solved xiv \u2014 never vendor iv, never the 1-day floor. They do not replace the regime verdict. 0DTE volume is counted as today's activity and is never used as a weight. Dealer-side sign is the usual convention and is labelled as one."
}
}
Full payload including every snapshot, the per-strike profile and the complete validation tables: api.php?sym=QQQ&full=1 · text: ?format=text · Part B only: ?validation=1